Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 4.502337 5.365550 6.325876 7.470031 8.792468 10.269223 12.039279
2025-06-22 3.055855 4.101856 5.387250 7.069406 9.197480 11.783540 15.145359
2025-06-29 2.299682 3.415611 4.906198 7.012776 9.877615 13.597372 18.744215
2025-07-06 1.794933 2.916093 4.526997 6.958840 10.473549 15.294062 22.311626
2025-07-13 1.556481 2.729658 4.522191 7.380307 11.721392 17.943464 27.374429
2025-07-20 1.330328 2.506997 4.410730 7.602259 12.672483 20.231469 32.105236
2025-07-27 1.178526 2.370839 4.401754 7.961503 13.843919 22.918487 37.617172
2025-08-03 0.995293 2.139702 4.192692 7.954049 14.415095 24.719309 41.911674
2025-08-10 0.807814 1.859802 3.849584 7.661689 14.467867 25.684991 44.951883
2025-08-17 0.660606 1.626524 3.549800 7.395698 14.518369 26.624846 47.989570
2025-08-24 0.568486 1.488051 3.405919 7.390404 15.012417 28.322424 52.370311
2025-08-31 0.494438 1.373230 3.289423 7.417512 15.558246 30.137084 57.058566
2025-09-07 0.423857 1.253076 3.147148 7.383500 16.002225 31.837772 61.731755
2025-09-14 0.341369 1.083132 2.867931 7.029182 15.789568 32.340630 64.339109
2025-09-21 0.292891 0.989624 2.744649 6.987171 16.185941 33.985051 69.101242
2025-09-28 0.251499 0.904773 2.626481 6.938268 16.558277 35.605039 73.919156
2025-10-05 0.239145 0.902303 2.710613 7.360387 17.956465 39.293674 82.830086
2025-10-12 0.218457 0.868877 2.710047 7.582423 18.943173 42.240701 90.507521
2025-10-19 0.205407 0.856854 2.763815 7.941062 20.259690 45.929417 99.826041
2025-10-26 0.180005 0.796055 2.674406 7.933698 20.754795 47.986182 106.074960
2025-11-02 0.148994 0.705417 2.483772 7.642022 20.568095 48.620222 109.534852
2025-11-09 0.123671 0.627085 2.313143 7.376641 20.411249 49.296228 113.106886
2025-11-16 0.108682 0.584519 2.242929 7.371362 20.873435 51.318606 119.539615